2002, Vol.5, No.4, pp.479-487
A general concept is presented which allows of setting
up mathematical models for stochastic and quasi deterministic
dynamic processes in social systems. The basis of this concept is
the master equation for the probability distribution over
appropriately chosen personal and material macrovariables of the
society. The probabilistic transition rates depend on motivation
potentials governing the decisions and actions of the social
agents. The transition from the probability distribution to
quasi-meanvalues leads to in general nonlinear coupled
differential equations for the macrovariables of the chosen social
sector. Up to now several models about population dynamics,
collective political opinion formation, dynamics of economic
processes and the formation of settlements have been published.
Key words: social systems, mathematical model, stochastic and
quasi deterministic dynamic processes
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